When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will a qualifying national poll record South Korean President Lee Jae-myung’s approval above 40%?

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How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result.
3
Result posted
The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.
4
Community vote
Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.
5
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

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Resolution rules

1
Resolution criteria
The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if, by September 28, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, a publicly reported national poll of South Korean adults or eligible voters, with fieldwork beginning on or after September 7, records President Lee Jae-myung’s job or state-administration approval above 40.0%. The result must be established by the pollster or by a consensus of independent credible reporting; forecasts, party-support figures, and polls conducted before September 7 do not count. Resolve No if no qualifying poll records approval above 40.0% by the deadline. Source: Yonhap News Agency (authoritative).