Resolution criteriaThe window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if the official result of Berlin's state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, gives AfD strictly more seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus than any other party. Resolve No if another party wins more seats or AfD ties for the most seats. The result may be established by Berlin's election authority or a consensus of independent credible reporting based on the official count. Source: Berlin election authority (authoritative).
