Resolution criteriaThe window opens on September 6, 2026. Resolve Yes if the official result of FIFA's presidential election on March 18, 2027, shows Gianni Infantino elected FIFA president for the 2027–2031 term. Resolve No if another candidate is elected, Infantino withdraws or is ruled ineligible, or the election is officially concluded without his election. Use the official result or a consensus of independent credible reporting; a candidacy announcement alone does not resolve the market. Source: FIFA (authoritative).