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Will South Korea formally authorize military deployment to the Strait of Hormuz?

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How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve YES if, by September 30, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, South Korea formally authorizes the deployment of military personnel to the Strait of Hormuz. The authorization must be established by an official act or statement from the South Korean government or National Assembly, or by a consensus of independent credible reporting confirming that the authorization occurred. Policy review, negotiations, requests, proposed plans, or announcements that authorization may occur do not count. Resolve NO if no such authorization occurs by the deadline. Source: Yonhap News Agency (authoritative).

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