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Will the Bank of England raise its policy interest rate at its next monetary policy decision?

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How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee raises Bank Rate at its scheduled decision on September 17, 2026. Resolve No if it leaves Bank Rate unchanged or lowers it. The actual decision controls; forecasts, proposals, commentary, or announcements of future moves do not qualify. Source: Bank of England (authoritative).

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