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Will the Bank of Korea raise its policy interest rate at its next policy decision?

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How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if, at the Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board's scheduled policy decision on October 22, 2026, the Board raises the Base Rate above its prevailing 3.00% level. Resolve No if the Board keeps the Base Rate at 3.00% or lowers it. The actual policy decision controls; a proposal, forecast, market expectation, announcement of a future move, or later commentary does not count. Use the Bank of Korea's official decision or a consensus of independent credible reporting. Source: Bank of Korea (authoritative).

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