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Will the Bundestag adopt Germany's 2027 federal budget by November 27, 2026?

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How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if the German Bundestag adopts Germany's 2027 federal budget through its final parliamentary vote on or before November 27, 2026, inclusive. Resolve No if the Bundestag has not adopted the budget by the end of November 27, 2026. The introduction, debate, committee recommendation, Bundesrat action, presidential signature, or later publication does not substitute for Bundestag adoption. Source: German Bundestag (authoritative).

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