Resolution criteriaThe window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if the Reserve Bank of Australia announces a cash-rate target higher than its previous target at any time from September 7 through its scheduled September 29, 2026 monetary-policy decision. Resolve No if it has not announced a higher target by that decision, including if it holds or lowers the target. Use an RBA decision or a consensus of independent credible reporting; expectations, proposals, and later commentary do not qualify. Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (authoritative).