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Will the Trump administration deploy federal agents or military personnel to U.S. polling centers during the 2026 national election cycle?

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  3. 3

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if, from September 7 through November 3, 2026, any federal agent or military personnel deployed by the Trump administration physically comes to, remains at, or performs official duties at a U.S. polling center used for the 2026 national general election, including an early-voting polling center. The deployment must be established by official records or a consensus of independent credible reporting; an announcement, proposal, threat, presence elsewhere, or deployment only near a polling center does not qualify. Resolve No if no qualifying deployment occurs by November 3, 2026. Source: Associated Press (authoritative).

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