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Will Turkey's next official annual consumer-inflation reading exceed 28.4%?

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How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if the Turkish Statistical Institute's official Consumer Price Index release for September 2026, released on October 5, 2026, reports an annual CPI rate of change strictly above 28.4%. Resolve No if it reports 28.4% or lower. Use the headline annual CPI rate for September 2026; revisions do not change the result. Source: Turkish Statistical Institute (authoritative).

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