When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will Western powers formally refer Iran’s nuclear program to the UN Security Council?

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How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result.
3
Result posted
The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.
4
Community vote
Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.
5
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

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Resolution rules

1
Resolution criteria
The window opens on September 7, 2026. Resolve Yes if, from September 7 through October 4, 2026, one or more Western powers formally refer Iran’s nuclear program to the UN Security Council. A qualifying referral must be established by an adopted IAEA Board resolution, an official transmission to the Security Council, or equivalent official UN records. A proposal, draft resolution, diplomatic warning, or public statement that does not produce a formal referral does not qualify. Resolve No if no qualifying formal referral occurs by October 4, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Source: Investing.com (authoritative).