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Next verdict

BTC above $84,450.00 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 27?03:59 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • +10%Scott Gillingham wins Winnipeg mayor?
  • -6%Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
  • -4%Mazher Alam wins Winnipeg mayor?

Elections

  • Democrats win Nevada governor?40dYes48%
  • Democrats win Georgia Senate election?40dYes95%
  • Democrats win Michigan Senate election?40dYes68%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?40dYes87%

Closing soon

  • BTC above $84,450.00 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 27?03:59 UTCYes46%
  • SOL above $121.50 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 27?03:59 UTCYes37%
  • XRP above $1.530 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 27?03:59 UTCYes33%
  • DOGE above $0.0967 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 27?03:59 UTCYes44%
  • ETH above $2,695.00 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 27?03:59 UTCYes50%
All 141 open markets
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Closes in 96d

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

OPEN · Closes Jan 4, 2027, 04:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.05Mid 0.185
—available
If correct
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Average price
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Fee
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.

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