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Next verdict

BTC above $83,000.00 by 07:59 UTC, Sep 29?07:59 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • +16%SOL above $118.50 on Sep 29?
  • +14%DOGE above $0.0939 on Sep 29?
  • -12%Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?

Elections

  • Democrats win Nevada governor?38dYes50%
  • Democrats win Georgia Senate election?37dYes95%
  • Democrats win Michigan Senate election?37dYes71%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?37dYes85%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?21dYes34%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?21dYes67%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?21dYes2%
  • PLQ wins second-most seats in Québec?8dYes86%

Closing soon

  • BTC above $83,000.00 by 07:59 UTC, Sep 29?07:59 UTCYes75%
  • PEPE above $0.000004170 by 07:59 UTC, Sep 29?07:59 UTCYes57%
  • SOL above $117.50 by 07:59 UTC, Sep 29?07:59 UTCYes70%
  • BNB above $758.50 by 07:59 UTC, Sep 29?07:59 UTCYes53%
  • DOGE above $0.0929 by 07:59 UTC, Sep 29?07:59 UTCYes71%
All 145 open markets

 

 

 

 

Back
Total Vol: 39.6 PMCloses in 8d

PLQ wins second-most seats in Québec?

OPEN · Closes Oct 8, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Last trade 88%

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.03Mid 0.855
—available
If correct
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Average price
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Fee
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if PLQ wins second-most seats in Québec in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

From the creator

Clarifications

  • 1
    Posted Sep 27, 2026, 22:20 UTC

    Parties are ranked by seats won in the National Assembly (127 seats). If two parties tie on seats, the one with more valid votes ranks higher. PLQ is the Parti libéral du Québec.

Clarifications explain how the rules read. They never replace the rules above.

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