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Next verdict

BTC above $84,450.00 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 28?03:59 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • +32%Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?
  • -11%Epic Games IPO before 2027?
  • -9%Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

Elections

  • Democrats win Nevada governor?39dYes50%
  • Democrats win Georgia Senate election?39dYes95%
  • Democrats win Michigan Senate election?39dYes71%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?39dYes85%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes34%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes68%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes2%
  • PQ wins most seats in Québec?10dYes94%

Closing soon

  • BTC above $84,450.00 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 28?03:59 UTCYes1%
  • SUI above $1.260 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 28?03:59 UTCYes48%
  • LINK above $14.020 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 28?03:59 UTCYes61%
  • BNB above $779.00 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 28?03:59 UTCYes8%
  • DOGE above $0.0969 by 03:59 UTC, Sep 28?03:59 UTCYes7%
All 145 open markets

 

 

 

 

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Closes in 94d

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

OPEN · Closes Jan 3, 2027, 21:00 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.038Mid 0.03
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Dec 31, 2026, 21:00 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.

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