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Next verdict

BTC above $84,500.00 by 19:59 UTC, Sep 27?11m

Biggest moves today

  • +33%SOL above $121.50 on Sep 27?
  • +30%WLD above $0.5225 on Sep 27?
  • +27%SUI above $1.160 on Sep 27?

Elections

  • Democrats win Nevada governor?39dYes48%
  • Democrats win Georgia Senate election?39dYes95%
  • Democrats win Michigan Senate election?39dYes68%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?39dYes85%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes37%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes2%
  • PQ wins most seats in Québec?10dYes90%

Closing soon

  • BTC above $84,500.00 by 19:59 UTC, Sep 27?11mYes96%
  • ETH above $2,690.00 by 19:59 UTC, Sep 27?11mYes75%
  • PEPE above $0.000004380 by 19:59 UTC, Sep 27?11mYes73%
  • BNB above $775.00 by 19:59 UTC, Sep 27?11mYes98%
  • WLD above $0.5527 by 19:59 UTC, Sep 27?11mYes95%
All 140 open markets
Back
Closes in 34d

Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

OPEN · Closes Nov 4, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.069Mid 0.0555
—available
If correct
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Average price
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Fee
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.

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