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Next verdict

BTC above $84,450.00 on Sep 27?18m

Biggest moves today

  • -55%LINK above $14.140 on Sep 27?
  • +46%BNB above $774.00 on Sep 27?
  • -44%ETH above $2,695.00 on Sep 27?

Elections

  • Democrats win Nevada governor?39dYes50%
  • Democrats win Georgia Senate election?39dYes95%
  • Democrats win Michigan Senate election?39dYes71%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?39dYes85%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes32%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes68%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?22dYes2%
  • PQ wins most seats in Québec?10dYes94%

Closing soon

  • BTC above $84,450.00 on Sep 27?18mYes36%
  • ETH above $2,695.00 on Sep 27?18mYes12%
  • SOL above $121.50 on Sep 27?18mYes75%
  • XRP above $1.530 on Sep 27?18mYes2%
  • PEPE above $0.000004370 on Sep 27?18mYes30%
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Closes in 10d

PLQ wins second-most seats in Québec?

OPEN · Closes Oct 8, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.03Mid 0.855
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if PLQ wins second-most seats in Québec in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

From the creator

Clarifications

  • 1
    Posted Sep 27, 2026, 22:20 UTC

    Parties are ranked by seats won in the National Assembly (127 seats). If two parties tie on seats, the one with more valid votes ranks higher. PLQ is the Parti libéral du Québec.

Clarifications explain how the rules read. They never replace the rules above.

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