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Will Google release its next Gemini Pro model by October 31, 2026?

OPEN · Closes Nov 4, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result.
3
Result posted
The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.
4
Community vote
Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.
5
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Price History

Spread: 0.01Mid 0.655

Amount (PM)—available

Resolution rules

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Google makes a new Gemini model labeled "Pro" (for example gemini-3.5-pro or gemini-4.0-pro-preview) available to the general public between September 30, 2026 and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Open betas and open rolling waitlists count; closed betas and private access do not. A general-availability promotion of an existing Pro preview may count. Flash, Flash-Lite and other non-Pro models do not count. Otherwise resolves No. Source: official information from Google, verified by a consensus of credible reporting. Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.