How do I trade on "Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?

OPEN · Closes Jan 4, 2027, 04:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result.
3
Result posted
The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.
4
Community vote
Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.
5
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Spread: 0.025Mid 0.0375

Amount (PM)—available

If correct: --
Average price: --
Fee: --

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (its first sale of stock to the public on a recognized stock exchange) by December 31, 2026 ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Resolves No immediately if OpenAI is acquired by a company that is already public. Otherwise No. Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.

Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?

OPEN · Closes Jan 4, 2027, 04:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result.
3
Result posted
The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.
4
Community vote
Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.
5
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Spread: 0.025Mid 0.0375

Amount (PM)—available

If correct: --
Average price: --
Fee: --

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (its first sale of stock to the public on a recognized stock exchange) by December 31, 2026 ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Resolves No immediately if OpenAI is acquired by a company that is already public. Otherwise No. Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.

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Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?

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Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?

Trade

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Result posted

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Settled