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Next verdict

BTC above $83,500.00 on Sep 29?23:59 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • +45%Trump renames AI by September 30?
  • +39%PEPE above $0.000004210 on Sep 29?
  • -35%Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?

Elections

  • Democrats win Nevada governor?37dYes50%
  • Democrats win Georgia Senate election?37dYes95%
  • Democrats win Michigan Senate election?37dYes71%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?37dYes85%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?20dYes34%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?20dYes67%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?20dYes2%
  • PLQ wins second-most seats in Québec?8dYes86%

Closing soon

  • BTC above $83,500.00 on Sep 29?23:59 UTCYes53%
  • ETH above $2,690.00 on Sep 29?23:59 UTCYes46%
  • PEPE above $0.000004210 on Sep 29?23:59 UTCYes74%
  • SUI above $1.170 on Sep 29?23:59 UTCYes32%
  • XRP above $1.500 on Sep 29?23:59 UTCYes44%
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Closes Thursday

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?

OPEN · Closes Oct 4, 2026, 16:00 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.

  4. 4

    Community vote

    Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.

  5. 5

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.05Mid 0.805
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Oct 1, 2026, 16:00 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.

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