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Next verdict

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?19:00 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • -41%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?
  • -31%Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
  • -30%Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?29dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?29dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?29dYes89%
  • Democrats win Nevada governor?29dYes57%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?12dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?12dYes66%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?12dYes<1%
  • Brad Bradford wins Toronto mayor?21dYes18%

Closing soon

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?16:00 UTCYes9%
  • Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?16:00 UTCUp1%
  • Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?16:00 UTCUp1%
  • Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET16:00 UTCUp21%
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET16:00 UTCUp20%
All 266 open markets

 

 

 

 

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Total Vol: 914.1 PMCloses in 29d

Democrats win Michigan governor?

Jocelyn Benson · Democratic nominee

OPEN · Closes Nov 6, 2026, 04:59 UTC

Last trade 94%

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: —Mid —
—available
If correct
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Average price
--
Fee
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if Democrats win Michigan governor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

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