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Next verdict

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET23:00 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • +48%Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
  • +48%Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?
  • -42%Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 8?

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?28dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win PA-07?28dYes84%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes65%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes<1%
  • Brad Bradford wins Toronto mayor?20dYes27%

Closing soon

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET36mUp99%
  • Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET36mUp92%
  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?36mUp1%
  • Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 8?36mYes1%
  • Predators vs. Canadiens23:00 UTCPredators39%
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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

ResolvedDownOct 8, 2026, 03:00 UTC

The verdict

Down won

Settled Oct 8, 2026

Price History

The calls

Order book

Trading is closed for this market.

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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Up" and outcome 2 is "Down". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Up") resolves if the reported outcome is "Up", and outcome 2 ("Down") if it is "Down". Trading closes Oct 8, 2026, 00:00 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.Follows Polymarket ↗

Closing soon