Will any AI fully complete at least 50% of workflows on Artificial Analysis's AutomationBench-AA by October 17, 2026?

Will the best open-weight model be within 4 points of the best proprietary model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on October 17, 2026?

Will METR report an AI with a 4-hour time horizon at 80% success by October 17, 2026?

Will an AI coding agent score 62+ on the Artificial Analysis Coding Agent Index at $5 or less per task by October 17, 2026?

Will an AI reach 67% accuracy with a hallucination rate of 25.5% or lower on AA-Omniscience by October 17, 2026?

Will METR publish a study showing AI makes experienced developers significantly faster by December 17, 2026?