How do I trade on "Mark Sutcliffe wins Ottawa mayor?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Mark Sutcliffe wins Ottawa mayor?

OPEN · Closes Oct 29, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Last trade 87%

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.
3
Result posted
The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.
4
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Spread: 0.02Mid 0.88

Amount (PM)—available

If correct: --
Average price: --
Fee: --

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Mark Sutcliffe wins Ottawa mayor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

Insights

Researched 2 hours ago · 2 sources checked

What decides this market?
Resolves Yes if Mark Sutcliffe wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election. Official election results decide it.
What's happened lately?
2026-07-22: Ottawa Compass poll of decided and leaning voters had Sutcliffe 36%, Lawson 26%, Leiper 25%, Saravanamuttoo 11%. Among all voters, 34% were undecided (Ottawa Compass, via search summary). press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-07: 2026-06: An earlier poll had Sutcliffe 24%, Leiper 21%, Lawson 12% among all voters. press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-07: Sutcliffe is the incumbent mayor. The main challengers are Jeff Leiper and Alex Lawson, plus Neil Saravanamuttoo. press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-07: 2026-08: Prediction Hunt headlines show Sutcliffe's odds at 65% on Aug 21, and Leiper's at 34% on Aug 27 after a return-to-office pledge. Another headline from Jul 20 says 18%, so the numbers are volatile and I did not verify them. press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
What would change it?
Ottawa municipal election, 2026-10-26.
What's the case for YES, and for NO?
YES:
NO:

Research, not advice.

Mark Sutcliffe wins Ottawa mayor?

OPEN · Closes Oct 29, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Last trade 87%

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.
3
Result posted
The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.
4
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Spread: 0.02Mid 0.88

Amount (PM)—available

If correct: --
Average price: --
Fee: --

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Mark Sutcliffe wins Ottawa mayor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

Insights

Researched 2 hours ago · 2 sources checked

What decides this market?
Resolves Yes if Mark Sutcliffe wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election. Official election results decide it.
What's happened lately?
2026-07-22: Ottawa Compass poll of decided and leaning voters had Sutcliffe 36%, Lawson 26%, Leiper 25%, Saravanamuttoo 11%. Among all voters, 34% were undecided (Ottawa Compass, via search summary). press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-07: 2026-06: An earlier poll had Sutcliffe 24%, Leiper 21%, Lawson 12% among all voters. press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-07: Sutcliffe is the incumbent mayor. The main challengers are Jeff Leiper and Alex Lawson, plus Neil Saravanamuttoo. press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-07: 2026-08: Prediction Hunt headlines show Sutcliffe's odds at 65% on Aug 21, and Leiper's at 34% on Aug 27 after a return-to-office pledge. Another headline from Jul 20 says 18%, so the numbers are volatile and I did not verify them. press.liaisonstrategies.ca · prediction.com
What would change it?
Ottawa municipal election, 2026-10-26.
What's the case for YES, and for NO?
YES:
NO:

Research, not advice.

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