When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will an AI model score 53+ on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at $1.63 or less per task by December 17, 2026?

OPEN · Closes Dec 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result.
3
Result posted
The posted result can be challenged before it becomes final. A challenge sends it to a community vote.
4
Community vote
Members stake PM to vote on the correct outcome. Call it right and you earn the stake back.
5
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Today's top score, 53, at half the price. GPT-6 Astra (max) reaches 53 at $3.26 per index task; $1.63 is half of that.

Price History

Spread: 0.02Mid 0.6

Amount (PM)—available

Resolution rules

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Artificial Analysis shows one model configuration with an overall Intelligence Index score of 53 or higher and a cost per Intelligence Index task of US$1.63 or less, using Artificial Analysis's own cost-per-task figure. All figures must belong to the same evaluated configuration (same model, harness and reasoning setting). Only results publicly shown by Artificial Analysis at or before the close count, read as Artificial Analysis publishes them on the current version of the benchmark. If no qualifying result is published by the close, this resolves NO. Source: Artificial Analysis (authoritative).