When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

OPEN · Closes Jan 2, 2027, 04:59 UTC

Last trade 59%

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.
3
Result posted
The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.
4
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Price History

Spread: 0.026Mid 0.607

Amount (PM)—available

Resolution rules

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.Follows Polymarket