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Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETFriday

Biggest moves today

  • +50%Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?
  • -43%Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 8?
  • +37%Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?28dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win PA-07?28dYes86%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes65%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes<1%
  • Mark Sutcliffe wins Ottawa mayor?20dYes88%

Closing soon

  • Predators vs. Canadiens23:00 UTCPredators40%
  • Canucks vs. Hurricanes23:00 UTCCanucks24%
  • Stars vs. Sabres23:00 UTCStars53%
  • Flyers vs. Senators23:00 UTCFlyers38%
  • Utah vs. Bruins23:00 UTCUtah55%
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Closes in 23d
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Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?

OPEN · Closes Nov 2, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.09Mid 0.745
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: settles exactly as the public prediction market it follows. Problee is not affiliated with it. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC. If the source voids or settles 50/50, this market resolves VOID and PM is returned. If the source has no final outcome by this market's resolution deadline, Problee's resolution review decides.Follows Polymarket ↗

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